Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 7.903599 8.732714 9.635621 10.695944 11.912146 13.269580 14.907708
2026-01-04 6.862580 7.975445 9.270499 10.903521 12.928553 15.384975 18.633255
2026-01-11 6.025493 7.234097 8.702762 10.645141 13.186789 16.457804 21.084617
2026-01-18 5.626053 6.943488 8.604865 10.895612 14.040500 18.313028 24.752252
2026-01-25 5.147294 6.488903 8.230124 10.711175 14.251212 19.278952 27.271845
2026-02-01 4.770062 6.125074 7.928410 10.573817 14.481484 20.261567 29.921356
2026-02-08 4.438962 5.791516 7.631390 10.400528 14.619689 21.095323 32.431139
2026-02-15 4.139192 5.475930 7.329458 10.183213 14.653711 21.749466 34.716438
2026-02-22 3.922892 5.260357 7.149947 10.125166 14.916978 22.785921 37.818195
2026-03-01 3.650572 4.946168 6.803196 9.778509 14.675917 22.938758 39.300273
2026-03-08 3.368099 4.600884 6.388165 9.291740 14.155368 22.543327 39.650469
2026-03-15 3.194972 4.406793 6.187651 9.129173 14.161259 23.074709 41.928537
2026-03-22 3.258306 4.573600 6.554827 9.928725 15.931563 27.116230 52.505322
2026-03-29 3.173335 4.509337 6.557052 10.120822 16.643866 29.258597 59.462756
2026-04-05 3.004294 4.304916 6.322212 9.885974 16.538873 29.746384 62.604658
2026-04-12 2.943702 4.266562 6.352090 10.113522 17.331654 32.203233 71.306547
2026-04-19 2.810413 4.105223 6.169436 9.945981 17.333486 32.957737 75.708815
2026-04-26 2.695082 3.966968 6.017039 9.821155 17.406509 33.878747 80.830586
2026-05-03 2.582013 3.826959 5.853744 9.663612 17.395650 34.604484 85.590736
2026-05-10 2.469553 3.682894 5.675895 9.465940 17.281212 35.069530 89.694303
2026-05-17 2.389019 3.588088 5.577939 9.413121 17.469646 36.297457 96.646944
2026-05-24 2.270097 3.424279 5.351730 9.097510 17.057375 35.969100 98.260870
2026-05-31 2.137028 3.232110 5.067929 8.653820 16.328249 34.749572 96.469280